Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.189085 0.217817 0.250732 0.291512 0.341072 0.399855 0.475611
2025-05-04 0.147811 0.185376 0.233454 0.300768 0.394682 0.524383 0.723249
2025-05-11 0.123488 0.164651 0.221818 0.309766 0.446968 0.662819 1.050891
2025-05-18 0.106045 0.148090 0.210265 0.313365 0.489798 0.800617 1.447989
2025-05-25 0.093093 0.134915 0.199997 0.314902 0.527904 0.943427 1.939314
2025-06-01 0.082593 0.123385 0.189604 0.312897 0.557961 1.082271 2.519416
2025-06-08 0.073732 0.112957 0.178929 0.307470 0.579080 1.210944 3.179825
2025-06-15 0.068655 0.107943 0.176496 0.316649 0.633117 1.441893 4.375874
2025-06-22 0.062311 0.099868 0.167230 0.310074 0.649691 1.585659 5.448424
2025-06-29 0.058122 0.095036 0.163179 0.313414 0.691192 1.824157 7.270660
2025-07-06 0.053717 0.089278 0.156498 0.309580 0.713301 2.017129 9.237947
2025-07-13 0.050915 0.086154 0.154540 0.316062 0.765953 2.351822 12.845290
2025-07-20 0.048482 0.083530 0.153374 0.324621 0.829676 2.787257 18.731113
2025-07-27 0.046115 0.080786 0.151607 0.331489 0.892106 3.281403 27.667162
2025-08-03 0.044143 0.078610 0.150756 0.340618 0.966799 3.919337 43.136040
2025-08-10 0.041971 0.075798 0.148111 0.344387 1.025176 4.549247 65.783416
2025-08-17 0.039868 0.072917 0.144933 0.346038 1.077285 5.221101 101.307389
2025-08-24 0.037721 0.069744 0.140686 0.343758 1.113691 5.853702 153.254410
2025-08-31 0.035551 0.066334 0.135485 0.337639 1.132259 6.398192 225.087658
2025-09-07 0.034470 0.065181 0.135593 0.347978 1.229602 7.786365 466.173256
2025-09-14 0.032558 0.062041 0.130443 0.340569 1.241549 8.435157 738.807072
2025-09-21 0.031346 0.060361 0.128778 0.344332 1.311581 9.871227 1654.709086
2025-09-28 0.029851 0.057926 0.124925 0.340013 1.338874 10.917956 3392.615704